Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJesús
72K →129
2.91ERA ←3.16
1.21WHIP ←1.25
1–4W →4–9
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryJesús
53K →78
1.92ERA ←4.30
0.93WHIP ←1.31
2W →4
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Jesús Luzardo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.360 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Luzardo outpaces Brown 129 K to 72 K; Brown edges ERA 2.91 to 3.16. The volume gap favors Luzardo as a buy; Brown is a sell-high.