Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJoe
72K →134
2.91ERA ←3.07
1.21WHIP →1.09
1–4W →4–10
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryJoe
53K →79
1.92ERA ←3.20
0.93WHIP ←0.97
2W →4
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Joe Ryan
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.07)
Ben Brown's 72 K trails Joe Ryan's 134 K by 62; the 2.91 to 3.07 ERA gap is noise. Sell-high verdict on Brown separates the outlooks.