Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryParker
72K →118
2.91ERA ←3.23
1.21WHIP ←1.22
1–4W →6–14
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryParker
53K →74
1.92ERA ←2.21
0.93WHIP ←1.07
2W →6
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Parker Messick
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.23, 0.87 below league — production is earned
Brown projects 2.91 ERA / 72 K vs Messick 3.23 ERA / 118 K. The K edge is clear. Sell Brown; acquire Messick.