Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryBryce
20HR ←11
70R ←30
70RBI ←15
3SB ←0
.270AVG →.292
Current Season
BenCategoryBryce
17HR ←2
44R ←8
44RBI ←4
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Bryce Eldridge
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.393)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Bryce Eldridge: 11 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).