Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJake
20HR ←16
70R ←46
70RBI ←58
3SB ←2
.270AVG ←.237
Current Season
BenCategoryJake
17HR ←10
44R ←29
44RBI ←37
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Jake Burger
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Jake Burger: 16 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).