Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryRhys
20HR ←10
70R ←42
70RBI ←40
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.180
Current Season
BenCategoryRhys
17HR ←5
44R ←22
44RBI ←21
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.192
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Rhys Hoskins
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Rhys Hoskins: 10 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).