Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryLane
6HR6
36R ←22
7RBI →31
7SB7
.233AVG ←.217
Current Season
BlakeCategoryLane
1HR →2
10R10
2RBI →14
2SB →3
.269AVG ←.226
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Lane Thomas
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.313)
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 36 R. Lane Thomas: 6 HR / 22 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).