Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryTaylor
6HR ←5
36R ←31
7RBI →26
7SB ←4
.233AVG ←.208
Current Season
BlakeCategoryTaylor
1HR ←0
10R ←7
2RBI →6
2SB ←1
.269AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.471 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.243 is 0.081 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 36 R. Taylor Trammell: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).