Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryLuke
38K →40
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–5
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
BlakeCategoryLuke
18K →25
3.06ERA →2.77
1.25WHIP →1.04
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Treinen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.05)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Blake Treinen: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).