Rest of Season Projection
JalenCategoryLuke
35K →40
3.74ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
JalenCategoryLuke
18K →25
3.86ERA →2.77
1.37WHIP →1.04
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jalen Beeks
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.91)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Jalen Beeks: 35 K / 3.74 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).