MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Nick Davila
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Davila.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nick Davila wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Nick Davila
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Nick Davila
8.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Nick Davila
12.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Nick Davila
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Nick Davila
24.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Nick Davila
2.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Nick Davila
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
25.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.00
Nick Davila
25.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.43
now 1.00
1.31
Nick Davila
.9001.43
now 1.20
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4041.40
now 31
27
Nick Davila
4041.40
now 5
14
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
14
Nick Davila
.0005.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 0
0
Nick Davila
.0005.60
now 1
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighNick Davila — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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