MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Connelly Early wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
92.1
Connelly Early
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
11.8%
Connelly Early
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
20.7%
Connelly Early
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
33.8%
Connelly Early
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
33.0%
Connelly Early
42.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
8.0%
Connelly Early
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.280
Connelly Early
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
2.384.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
4.01
Connelly Early
2.384.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.37
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9101.46
now 1.03
1.29
Connelly Early
.9101.46
now 1.16
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
40111.80
now 25
76
Connelly Early
40111.80
now 57
87
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.00013.20
now 2
37
Connelly Early
.00013.20
now 5
510

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
SellConnelly Early — sell.conf 0.68
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