Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryLucas
81K ←45
4.01ERA ←4.10
1.29WHIP ←1.30
3–7W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryLucas
25K ←6
3.60ERA ←4.97
1.03WHIP ←1.74
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Woodruff
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.13)
Lucas Giolito
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 0.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brandon Woodruff: 81 K / 4.01 ERA. Lucas Giolito: 45 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).