MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 2 (K, ERA); Lucas Giolito wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.5
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.5%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.3%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.3%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
4.7%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.296
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
25.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.56
Lucas Giolito
25.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9002
now 1.08
1.31
Lucas Giolito
.9002
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4092.80
now 61
68
Lucas Giolito
4092.80
now 6
40
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.00016
now 4
36
Lucas Giolito
.00016
now 2
612

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.76
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
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