MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bryce Elder wins 0 (none); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.4
Logan Henderson
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.0%
Logan Henderson
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.1%
Logan Henderson
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
27.6%
Logan Henderson
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.9%
Logan Henderson
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.8%
Logan Henderson
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.313
Logan Henderson
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
4.11
Logan Henderson
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.60
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9001.44
now 1.08
1.31
Logan Henderson
.9001.44
now 1.04
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4081
now 61
11
Logan Henderson
4081
now 30
14
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0005.60
now 4
01
Logan Henderson
.0005.60
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
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