MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Clay Holmes wins 2 (K, ERA); Lucas Giolito wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
94.6
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
5.3%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.306
Lucas Giolito
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
26
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.90
Lucas Giolito
26
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
.9002
now 1.10
1.33
Lucas Giolito
.9002
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4060.60
now 45
37
Lucas Giolito
4060.60
now 6
23
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.0009
now 4
24
Lucas Giolito
.0009
now 2
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
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