MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 1 (WHIP); Troy Melton wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
91.8
Troy Melton
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
12.0%
Troy Melton
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
27.0%
Troy Melton
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.3%
Troy Melton
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.5%
Troy Melton
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
7.8%
Troy Melton
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.263
Troy Melton
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
25.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
Troy Melton
25.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9001.43
now 1.03
1.28
Troy Melton
.9001.43
now 0.95
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
4035
now 25
0
Troy Melton
4035
now 4
0
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Troy Melton
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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