MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Carson Palmquist
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brayan Bello wins 2 (K, W); Carson Palmquist wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
95.0
Carson Palmquist
91.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.1%
Carson Palmquist
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
17.1%
Carson Palmquist
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.0%
Carson Palmquist
35.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
42.5%
Carson Palmquist
24.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
9.3%
Carson Palmquist
4.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.364
Carson Palmquist
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
26.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.19
Carson Palmquist
26.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
.9001.94
now 1.64
1.40
Carson Palmquist
.9001.94
now 0.90
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4054.80
now 40
30
Carson Palmquist
4054.80
now 3
21
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0002.80
now 2
12
Carson Palmquist
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
Buy LowCarson Palmquist — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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