MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Brennan Bernardino
Brennan Bernardino
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Brennan Bernardino’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Brennan Bernardino wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
90.6
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
9.9%
José Alvarado
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
17.1%
José Alvarado
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
25.6%
José Alvarado
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
30.6%
José Alvarado
29.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
5.6%
José Alvarado
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
.305
José Alvarado
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brennan Bernardino
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.70
3.82
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
WHIPlower is better
Brennan Bernardino
12.04
now 1.23
1.30
José Alvarado
12.04
now 1.81
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brennan Bernardino
4034.80
now 18
4
José Alvarado
4034.80
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
Brennan Bernardino
.0002.80
now 2
01
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyBrennan Bernardino — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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