MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Paul Blackburn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Paul Blackburn wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Paul Blackburn
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.3%
Paul Blackburn
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.9%
Paul Blackburn
21.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.0%
Paul Blackburn
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
29.6%
Paul Blackburn
35.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.9%
Paul Blackburn
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.303
Paul Blackburn
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.436.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
Paul Blackburn
2.436.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.54
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.102.01
now 1.81
1.34
Paul Blackburn
1.102.01
now 1.44
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4035.20
now 26
6
Paul Blackburn
4035.20
now 16
3
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
00
Paul Blackburn
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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