MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Paul Blackburn wins 1 (ERA); Sean Manaea wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
94.8
Sean Manaea
91.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
10.8%
Sean Manaea
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
21.3%
Sean Manaea
21.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
28.8%
Sean Manaea
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
35.5%
Sean Manaea
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
6.2%
Sean Manaea
11.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
.292
Sean Manaea
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Blackburn
2.635.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.54
Sean Manaea
2.635.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.08
4.51
WHIPlower is better
Paul Blackburn
1.231.53
now 1.44
1.30
Sean Manaea
1.231.53
now 1.46
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
4057.60
now 16
3
Sean Manaea
4057.60
now 42
9
Winshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0002.80
now 2
01
Sean Manaea
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
SellSean Manaea — sell.conf 0.81
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