MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 2 (K, SV); Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.6
Paul Blackburn
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
14.2%
Paul Blackburn
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
29.4%
Paul Blackburn
21.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
26.3%
Paul Blackburn
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
42.2%
Paul Blackburn
35.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
5.5%
Paul Blackburn
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.315
Paul Blackburn
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
4.01
Paul Blackburn
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.54
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
1.012.31
now 2.02
1.44
Paul Blackburn
1.012.31
now 1.44
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4031
now 23
6
Paul Blackburn
4031
now 16
3
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0002.80
now 2
01
Paul Blackburn
.0002.80
now 2
01
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0004.40
now 3
11
Paul Blackburn
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBryan Abreu — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.87
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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