MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Erik Miller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Brent Headrick’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Erik Miller wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Brent Headrick wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.1
Erik Miller
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
16.2%
Erik Miller
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
24.7%
Erik Miller
29.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
32.4%
Erik Miller
22.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
37.5%
Erik Miller
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.8%
Erik Miller
9.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.289
Erik Miller
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
25.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.68
Erik Miller
25.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
1.171.48
now 1.37
1.25
Erik Miller
1.171.48
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4042.60
now 29
34
Erik Miller
4042.60
now 24
37
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0007
now 3
25
Erik Miller
.0007
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0008.40
now 0
0
Erik Miller
.0008.40
now 2
16
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrent Headrick — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
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