MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 17, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brent Headrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Nate Pearson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Brent Headrick wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Nate Pearson wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.2
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
17.4%
Nate Pearson
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
27.6%
Nate Pearson
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
33.2%
Nate Pearson
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
37.7%
Nate Pearson
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.9%
Nate Pearson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.271
Nate Pearson
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.66
Nate Pearson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
.9801.48
now 1.37
1.24
Nate Pearson
.9801.48
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4039.80
now 29
24
Nate Pearson
4039.80
now 2
10
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0005.60
now 3
14
Nate Pearson
.0005.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.00011.20
now 0
0
Nate Pearson
.00011.20
now 1
28
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrent Headrick — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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