Rest of Season Projection
BrooksCategoryNick
39K ←31
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BrooksCategoryNick
26K ←15
1.61ERA ←5.12
1.25WHIP ←1.50
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brooks Raley
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.39 is 1.97 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Mears
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.27)
Brooks Raley: 39 K / 3.69 ERA. Nick Mears: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).