MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Hudson
Bryan Hudson
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and saves. Bryan Hudson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 2 categories (WHIP, SV); Bryan Hudson wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Hudson
91.9
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Hudson
10.3%
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Hudson
22.2%
Caleb Thielbar
29.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Hudson
22.5%
Caleb Thielbar
37.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Hudson
35.5%
Caleb Thielbar
32.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Hudson
3.6%
Caleb Thielbar
11.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Hudson
.296
Caleb Thielbar
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Hudson
24.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.26
3.69
Caleb Thielbar
24.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Hudson
1.071.42
now 1.15
1.25
Caleb Thielbar
1.071.42
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Hudson
4033.60
now 28
27
Caleb Thielbar
4033.60
now 15
23
Winshigher is better
Bryan Hudson
.0006.60
now 3
14
Caleb Thielbar
.0006.60
now 2
25
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Hudson
.0008
now 2
13
Caleb Thielbar
.0008
now 2
16
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan Hudson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
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