MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Daniel Palencia
Daniel Palencia
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W); Daniel Palencia wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Daniel Palencia
99.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.1%
Daniel Palencia
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.5%
Daniel Palencia
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.7%
Daniel Palencia
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
41.9%
Daniel Palencia
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.0%
Daniel Palencia
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.321
Daniel Palencia
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
24.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Daniel Palencia
24.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.151.55
now 1.34
1.24
Daniel Palencia
1.151.55
now 1.46
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4020.60
now 15
14
Daniel Palencia
4020.60
now 12
14
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.2003.80
now 2
13
Daniel Palencia
.2003.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.40
now 2
14
Daniel Palencia
.0005.40
now 3
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCaleb Thielbar — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
Hold · wait & seeDaniel Palencia — hold.conf 0.50
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