MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 categories (K); Chris Murphy wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Chris Murphy
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.1%
Chris Murphy
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.5%
Chris Murphy
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.7%
Chris Murphy
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
41.9%
Chris Murphy
36.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.0%
Chris Murphy
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.321
Chris Murphy
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9002.55
now 1.34
1.24
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4020.60
now 15
14
Chris Murphy
4020.60
now 6
11
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.2003.80
now 2
13
Chris Murphy
.2003.80
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.40
now 2
14
Chris Murphy
.0005.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCaleb Thielbar — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
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