MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Bryan King
Bryan King
HOU · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Elvis Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Bryan King’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Elvis Alvarado wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Bryan King wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan King
91.9
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
8.7%
Elvis Alvarado
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
18.0%
Elvis Alvarado
32.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan King
31.1%
Elvis Alvarado
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
35.6%
Elvis Alvarado
48.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
5.2%
Elvis Alvarado
18.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan King
.313
Elvis Alvarado
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan King
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.72
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan King
.9902.11
now 1.30
1.25
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan King
4024.60
now 19
19
Elvis Alvarado
4024.60
now 9
14
Winshigher is better
Bryan King
.0007
now 0
00
Elvis Alvarado
.0007
now 2
25
Saveshigher is better
Bryan King
.0009.80
now 6
47
Elvis Alvarado
.0009.80
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan King — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
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