Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryJoe
95K →134
3.18ERA →3.07
1.29WHIP →1.09
4–9W →4–10
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryJoe
61K →79
2.50ERA ←3.20
1.08WHIP →0.97
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.68 above the ERA — regression coming
Joe Ryan
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.07)
Ryan projects 134 K vs Elder's 95 K, and 3.07 ERA vs 3.18 ERA — the surface skill difference supports hold Ryan over sell-high Elder.