MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Mick Abel
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mick Abel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mick Abel wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.6
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.4%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
28.1%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
41.1%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.4%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.309
Mick Abel
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.99
Mick Abel
24.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9001.77
now 1.08
1.31
Mick Abel
.9001.77
now 1.57
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4076.20
now 61
37
Mick Abel
4076.20
now 23
38
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0005.20
now 4
23
Mick Abel
.0005.20
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50
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