MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bryce Elder wins 0 (none); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.6
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.4%
Tarik Skubal
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Tarik Skubal
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
28.1%
Tarik Skubal
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
41.1%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.4%
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.309
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.99
Tarik Skubal
24.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9001.45
now 1.08
1.31
Tarik Skubal
.9001.45
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4070.20
now 61
38
Tarik Skubal
4070.20
now 45
42
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
1.204.80
now 4
24
Tarik Skubal
1.204.80
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
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