Who's more valuable, rest of season
Tarik Skubal.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Tarik Skubal wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.6
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.6%
Tarik Skubal
15.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.9%
Tarik Skubal
26.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.9%
Tarik Skubal
35.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
38.3%
Tarik Skubal
41.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
3.8%
Tarik Skubal
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.283
Tarik Skubal
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.22
Tarik Skubal
24.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.92
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9001.44
now 1.08
1.30
Tarik Skubal
.9001.44
now 0.95
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
40109.40
now 61
78
Tarik Skubal
40109.40
now 45
91
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
110
now 4
3–7
Tarik Skubal
110
now 3
4–8
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.86
Hold · wait & seeTarik Skubal — hold.conf 0.50