MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Miller wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Matthew Boyd wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Miller
96.0
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
13.8%
Matthew Boyd
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
24.3%
Matthew Boyd
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
35.4%
Matthew Boyd
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
33.1%
Matthew Boyd
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
7.4%
Matthew Boyd
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Miller
.288
Matthew Boyd
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Miller
27.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
3.45
Matthew Boyd
27.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.47
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Miller
.9001.50
now 0.86
1.21
Matthew Boyd
.9001.50
now 1.29
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Miller
4039.40
now 20
10
Matthew Boyd
4039.40
now 31
14
Winshigher is better
Bryce Miller
.0002.80
now 1
01
Matthew Boyd
.0002.80
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Miller — buy.conf 0.79
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.72
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