MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Hunter Greene
CIN · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Greene.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matthew Boyd’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Greene wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matthew Boyd wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Greene
98.3
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
14.5%
Matthew Boyd
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
27.3%
Matthew Boyd
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
32.0%
Matthew Boyd
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Greene
46.8%
Matthew Boyd
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Greene
5.1%
Matthew Boyd
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Greene
.325
Matthew Boyd
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Greene
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 21.60
4.10
Matthew Boyd
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.47
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Greene
.9002.55
now 3.30
1.30
Matthew Boyd
.9002.55
now 1.29
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Greene
4040.60
now 7
18
Matthew Boyd
4040.60
now 31
14
Winshigher is better
Hunter Greene
.0002.80
now 0
00
Matthew Boyd
.0002.80
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeHunter Greene — hold.conf 0.55
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.72
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