Who's more valuable, rest of season
Matthew Boyd.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Matthew Boyd wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.5
Matthew Boyd
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.5%
Matthew Boyd
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Matthew Boyd
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.3%
Matthew Boyd
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.3%
Matthew Boyd
51.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
4.7%
Matthew Boyd
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.296
Matthew Boyd
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
27.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.61
Matthew Boyd
27.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.12
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9901.40
now 1.08
1.31
Matthew Boyd
.9901.40
now 1.29
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4084.20
now 61
62
Matthew Boyd
4084.20
now 31
69
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0009
now 4
3–6
Matthew Boyd
.0009
now 2
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.75
Hold · wait & seeMatthew Boyd — hold.conf 0.55