MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 2 categories (K, W); Bryce Miller wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Miller
96.3
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
16.4%
Tarik Skubal
16.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
30.2%
Tarik Skubal
30.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
37.0%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
28.4%
Tarik Skubal
38.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
6.4%
Tarik Skubal
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Miller
.236
Tarik Skubal
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Miller
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
2.28
Tarik Skubal
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Miller
.9001.08
now 0.86
1.01
Tarik Skubal
.9001.08
now 0.95
1.01

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Miller
4078.80
now 20
44
Tarik Skubal
4078.80
now 45
62
Winshigher is better
Bryce Miller
.0008
now 1
24
Tarik Skubal
.0008
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Miller — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.87
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