MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSH · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matthew Boyd.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and wins. Cade Cavalli’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 categories (WHIP, W); Cade Cavalli wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
96.7
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
12.3%
Matthew Boyd
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
25.5%
Matthew Boyd
26.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
31.6%
Matthew Boyd
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
39.0%
Matthew Boyd
50.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
7.2%
Matthew Boyd
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
.315
Matthew Boyd
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Cavalli
2.676.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
4.13
Matthew Boyd
2.676.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.12
WHIPlower is better
Cade Cavalli
1.221.49
now 1.42
1.32
Matthew Boyd
1.221.49
now 1.29
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
4091.20
now 74
70
Matthew Boyd
4091.20
now 31
62
Winshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
.4007.60
now 3
24
Matthew Boyd
.4007.60
now 2
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCade Cavalli — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMatthew Boyd — hold.conf 0.50
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