MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 (ERA, W); Ryan Weathers wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
92.5
Ryan Weathers
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
16.2%
Ryan Weathers
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
28.9%
Ryan Weathers
26.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
36.3%
Ryan Weathers
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
50.0%
Ryan Weathers
42.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
9.2%
Ryan Weathers
11.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
.322
Ryan Weathers
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Boyd
2.536.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.11
Ryan Weathers
2.536.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.52
4.42
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Boyd
1.071.37
now 1.29
1.30
Ryan Weathers
1.071.37
now 1.14
1.20

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
40102.40
now 31
67
Ryan Weathers
40102.40
now 75
82
Winshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
.0009
now 2
37
Ryan Weathers
.0009
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowMatthew Boyd — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.82
SellRyan Weathers — sell.conf 0.70
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