MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lucas Giolito wins 2 (ERA, W); Ryan Weathers wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Ryan Weathers
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Ryan Weathers
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Ryan Weathers
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Ryan Weathers
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Ryan Weathers
42.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Ryan Weathers
11.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Ryan Weathers
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
2.945.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Ryan Weathers
2.945.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.52
4.36
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
.9001.98
now 1.74
1.30
Ryan Weathers
.9001.98
now 1.14
1.18

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
40113.80
now 6
39
Ryan Weathers
40113.80
now 75
83
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.00016
now 2
612
Ryan Weathers
.00016
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighRyan Weathers — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.87
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