MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matthew Boyd.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Clay Holmes’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Clay Holmes wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
94.6
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Matthew Boyd
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Matthew Boyd
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Matthew Boyd
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Matthew Boyd
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
5.3%
Matthew Boyd
9.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.306
Matthew Boyd
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
27.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.91
Matthew Boyd
27.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.41
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
1.011.42
now 1.10
1.33
Matthew Boyd
1.011.42
now 1.29
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4052
now 45
36
Matthew Boyd
4052
now 31
46
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
1.204.80
now 4
24
Matthew Boyd
1.204.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.69
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