MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Cavalli.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Cavalli wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Cade Cavalli
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.8%
Cade Cavalli
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.9%
Cade Cavalli
26.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.6%
Cade Cavalli
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.6%
Cade Cavalli
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.1%
Cade Cavalli
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.316
Cade Cavalli
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.856.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.17
Cade Cavalli
2.856.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
4.13
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.221.49
now 1.39
1.32
Cade Cavalli
1.221.49
now 1.42
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
50.2080.80
now 64
57
Cade Cavalli
50.2080.80
now 74
59
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.204.80
now 3
24
Cade Cavalli
1.204.80
now 3
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · steadyCade Cavalli — hold.conf 0.60
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