MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Cade Povich
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Povich wins 0 (none); Lucas Giolito wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Povich
91.8
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
10.5%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
17.5%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Povich
29.7%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
39.7%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
6.9%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Povich
.331
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Povich
3.695.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
4.10
Lucas Giolito
3.695.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Cade Povich
1.121.92
now 1.34
1.30
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Povich
4017.60
now 12
0
Lucas Giolito
4017.60
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Cade Povich
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Lucas Giolito
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Povich — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
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