MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOS · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KC · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Loftin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average. Caleb Durbin’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nick Loftin wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Caleb Durbin wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
84.7
Nick Loftin
88.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
29.6%
Nick Loftin
32.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
2.8%
Nick Loftin
6.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Caleb Durbin
28.5%
Nick Loftin
23.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Caleb Durbin
7.7%
Nick Loftin
6.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
.277
Nick Loftin
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Caleb Durbin
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .183
.228
Nick Loftin
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .214
.248

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
54.20
now 1
2
Nick Loftin
54.20
now 0
3
Runshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
2027.80
now 15
18
Nick Loftin
2027.80
now 11
23
RBIhigher is better
Caleb Durbin
2035
now 22
26
Nick Loftin
2035
now 14
29
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
.0007
now 4
5
Nick Loftin
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Durbin — sell.conf 0.63
Hold · steadyNick Loftin — hold.conf 0.60
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