Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryRoyce
4HR →8
26R26
38RBI ←30
7SB7
.226AVG ←.190
Current Season
CalebCategoryRoyce
1HR →3
15R ←11
22RBI ←13
4SB ←3
.183AVG ←.159
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Durbin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
Royce Lewis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.215 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Caleb Durbin: 4 HR / 26 R. Royce Lewis: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).