Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryRoyce
6HR →8
26R26
37RBI ←30
0SB →7
.225AVG ←.190
Current Season
AlecCategoryRoyce
6HR ←3
17R ←11
24RBI ←13
0SB →3
.210AVG ←.159
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Bohm
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
Royce Lewis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.215 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alec Bohm: 6 HR / 26 R. Royce Lewis: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).