MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Jonathan Bowlan
Jonathan Bowlan
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Jonathan Bowlan wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.3
Jonathan Bowlan
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Jonathan Bowlan
16.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.0%
Jonathan Bowlan
31.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.0%
Jonathan Bowlan
34.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.1%
Jonathan Bowlan
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
3.7%
Jonathan Bowlan
5.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.283
Jonathan Bowlan
.247
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
26.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Jonathan Bowlan
26.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Jonathan Bowlan
.9001.50
now 1.15
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4027
now 6
21
Jonathan Bowlan
4027
now 16
11
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Jonathan Bowlan
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJonathan Bowlan — hold.conf 0.50
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