Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Fermin.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
◀
SV
José Fermin wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (SV); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.7
José Fermin
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.2%
José Fermin
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
28.6%
José Fermin
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.9%
José Fermin
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
38.5%
José Fermin
54.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
9.0%
José Fermin
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.302
José Fermin
.372
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.70
José Fermin
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9401.88
now 1.15
1.25
José Fermin
.9401.88
now 1.67
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4041.80
now 29
30
José Fermin
4041.80
now 18
35
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.8006.20
now 2
2–3
José Fermin
.8006.20
now 2
2–5
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0007
now 3
3–5
José Fermin
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCaleb Kilian — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
Hold · wait & seeJosé Fermin — hold.conf 0.50