Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryTyler
34K →36
3.72ERA →3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–8
3–5SV ←0
Current Season
CalebCategoryTyler
29K ←28
3.81ERA →3.16
1.15WHIP ←1.17
2W →4
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.222 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.01 is 0.78 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.89)
Caleb Kilian: 34 K / 3.72 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 36 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).