MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Trevor Richards wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Trevor Richards
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Trevor Richards
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Trevor Richards
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Trevor Richards
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Trevor Richards
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Trevor Richards
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Trevor Richards
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
26.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Trevor Richards
26.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
4.01
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.121.41
now 1.34
1.23
Trevor Richards
1.121.41
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4021
now 15
0
Trevor Richards
4021
now 14
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Trevor Richards
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
Sell HighTrevor Richards — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
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