MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOU · RF
Change to
Portrait of Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LAD · TWP
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shohei Ohtani.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Shohei Ohtani wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Cam Smith wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cam Smith
89.5
Shohei Ohtani
93.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
45.0%
Shohei Ohtani
52.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
11.7%
Shohei Ohtani
16.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cam Smith
28.6%
Shohei Ohtani
28.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cam Smith
13.6%
Shohei Ohtani
12.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cam Smith
.339
Shohei Ohtani
.411
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cam Smith
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .218
.230
Shohei Ohtani
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .289
.285

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
514.80
now 6
5
Shohei Ohtani
514.80
now 10
12
Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
2043.60
now 26
24
Shohei Ohtani
2043.60
now 38
33
RBIhigher is better
Cam Smith
2035.80
now 21
19
Shohei Ohtani
2035.80
now 31
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cam Smith
3.808.20
now 7
6
Shohei Ohtani
3.808.20
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCam Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.68
BuyShohei Ohtani — buy.conf 0.79
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